This discrepancy is all about Jared Goff.
The top pick in 2016 has been one of the surprising stories of the 2017 season so far, as he has played well so far.
Additionally, although Aaron Donald earns plenty of headlines, the model thinks this defense is a little below average, too.
All in all, FPI thinks this is a below-average football team for the rest of the season — though it does have a 27 percent chance to reach the postseason thanks to its 3-1 start.
The Giants have likely put themselves in too deep a hole to reach the postseason (just a 2 percent chance, FPI says), but they aren’t one of the worst teams in the NFL.
“Andrew’s doing good, he’s doing really good,” Ballard said. “I’ve watched him throw the ball and he’s starting to get his motion back, getting his lower body to start working with his upper body.
“His strength levels are getting back to where they need to be.”
Luck will still likely need time to transition to game speed before taking the field possibly on Oct. 16 against the Titans or Oct. 22 at home vs. the Jaguars.
So far, our numbers are buying Deshaun Watson. He’s the NFL leader in Total QBR and clearly has helped the Texans en route to their 2-2 record.
The model does account for individual quarterbacks, and it has made Cheap Jerseys Pay With Paypal significant adjustments for Watson already. It thinks the Houston offense Cheap Jerseys Sale will operate at a higher level with Watson at quarterback now than it did in Week 1. But FPI isn’t ready to anoint him yet, and with good reason. It’s been just four games for him, too – three-and-a-half, actually — and that isn’t enough time to figure out whether he truly is as good as he has been.